Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 1.680476 1.912702 2.167355 2.467646 2.812494 3.196612 3.657595
2025-10-26 1.338094 1.641766 2.002062 2.462335 3.036563 3.731738 4.640804
2025-11-02 1.070704 1.397329 1.810897 2.375660 3.131040 4.112394 5.493539
2025-11-09 0.863360 1.186792 1.619432 2.244742 3.132518 4.358337 6.197545
2025-11-16 0.741721 1.067383 1.524697 2.219956 3.261276 4.780369 7.196158
2025-11-23 0.641397 0.961014 1.429521 2.174531 3.344986 5.138936 8.146068
2025-11-30 0.597235 0.929436 1.436489 2.277872 3.661299 5.884397 9.804893
2025-12-07 0.549820 0.885478 1.416925 2.333651 3.905052 6.542468 11.417178
2025-12-14 0.495884 0.823626 1.359969 2.318221 4.024241 7.003743 12.753596
2025-12-21 0.438218 0.748321 1.271143 2.235422 4.012332 7.230325 13.691229
2025-12-28 0.416979 0.732440 1.280701 2.325367 4.319772 8.069470 15.913467
2026-01-04 0.399017 0.719952 1.294098 2.422685 4.651772 8.996703 18.454642
2026-01-11 0.373949 0.692716 1.279428 2.468694 4.898001 9.806158 20.923161
2026-01-18 0.350321 0.665553 1.261846 2.506918 5.134502 10.631791 23.576301
2026-01-25 0.317057 0.616180 1.196092 2.439818 5.143223 10.981453 25.225157
2026-02-01 0.281619 0.558693 1.108003 2.315213 5.011077 11.004998 26.114435
2026-02-08 0.260644 0.528190 1.071021 2.294588 5.104858 11.545950 28.348585
2026-02-15 0.239617 0.495372 1.025694 2.249983 5.137717 11.950156 30.311754
2026-02-22 0.233973 0.494411 1.047502 2.358426 5.542747 13.299123 34.979477
2026-03-01 0.224459 0.484046 1.047721 2.416962 5.835718 14.417171 39.241115
2026-03-08 0.210037 0.461352 1.018164 2.401273 5.942332 15.078330 42.352032
2026-03-15 0.191928 0.428577 0.962452 2.315481 5.858734 15.230314 44.018563
2026-03-22 0.187488 0.426796 0.978195 2.408937 6.256644 16.736042 50.035479